Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on August 24 indicate moderate rain and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating, keeping the expected maximum temperature tightly clustered around 32–34 °C in subtropical late-summer conditions. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture favor scattered showers, which reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures provide only modest warm-air advection. Historical August averages near 32–33 °C serve as a baseline, yet model consensus shows small variations in rainfall timing that explain the closely matched market-implied odds across 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
34°C 23%
33°C 23%
32°C 21%
31°C 15%
NEW
$25,129 Vol.
NEW
$25,129 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
23%
34°C
23%
35°C or higher
14%
34°C 23%
33°C 23%
32°C 21%
31°C 15%
NEW
$25,129 Vol.
NEW
$25,129 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$618 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,020 Vol.
1%
30°C
$3,917 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,517 Vol.
21%
32°C
$1,167 Vol.
21%
33°C
$1,280 Vol.
23%
34°C
$1,105 Vol.
23%
35°C or higher
$5,391 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on August 24 indicate moderate rain and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating, keeping the expected maximum temperature tightly clustered around 32–34 °C in subtropical late-summer conditions. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture favor scattered showers, which reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures provide only modest warm-air advection. Historical August averages near 32–33 °C serve as a baseline, yet model consensus shows small variations in rainfall timing that explain the closely matched market-implied odds across 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$25,129End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on August 24 indicate moderate rain and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating, keeping the expected maximum temperature tightly clustered around 32–34 °C in subtropical late-summer conditions. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture favor scattered showers, which reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures provide only modest warm-air advection. Historical August averages near 32–33 °C serve as a baseline, yet model consensus shows small variations in rainfall timing that explain the closely matched market-implied odds across 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,129End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on August 24 indicate moderate rain and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating, keeping the expected maximum temperature tightly clustered around 32–34 °C in subtropical late-summer conditions. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture favor scattered showers, which reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures provide only modest warm-air advection. Historical August averages near 32–33 °C serve as a baseline, yet model consensus shows small variations in rainfall timing that explain the closely matched market-implied odds across 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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