**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Guangzhou today centers on 31–34°C due to the interplay of subtropical monsoon dynamics and convective activity on August 24.** Historical normals place the average daily high near 33°C, with recent days showing peaks of 32–34°C amid scattered showers. Current forecasts indicate afternoon solar heating could drive readings to 34–37°C under partial clearing, yet widespread thunderstorm chances (often 70–95%) introduce uncertainty by limiting peak insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. High humidity (70–90%) and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta further modulate surface temperatures, while steering patterns and model spreads create tight clustering around the 32–34°C range. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station, with fresh observational data expected to clarify whether convective suppression keeps readings at or below 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
33°C 24%
34°C 23%
32°C 21%
31°C 18%
$25,703 Vol.
$25,703 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
21%
33°C
24%
34°C
23%
35°C or higher
14%
33°C 24%
34°C 23%
32°C 21%
31°C 18%
$25,703 Vol.
$25,703 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
21%
33°C
24%
34°C
23%
35°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Guangzhou today centers on 31–34°C due to the interplay of subtropical monsoon dynamics and convective activity on August 24.** Historical normals place the average daily high near 33°C, with recent days showing peaks of 32–34°C amid scattered showers. Current forecasts indicate afternoon solar heating could drive readings to 34–37°C under partial clearing, yet widespread thunderstorm chances (often 70–95%) introduce uncertainty by limiting peak insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. High humidity (70–90%) and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta further modulate surface temperatures, while steering patterns and model spreads create tight clustering around the 32–34°C range. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station, with fresh observational data expected to clarify whether convective suppression keeps readings at or below 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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