National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under sunny skies, light southwest winds, and reduced humidity following earlier frontal passage. These stable high-pressure conditions, typical for late August, limit convective heating and cap daytime maxima in the lower 80s rather than allowing the seasonal average of 82°F to be exceeded. Recent observations from Central Park and nearby stations confirm similar maxima the prior day, reinforcing trader positioning around the 80-81°F bin at 51.5% implied probability while assigning lower weight to 82-83°F outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?
80-81°F 52%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 3%
NEW
$23,156 Vol.
NEW
$23,156 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
52%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 52%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 3%
NEW
$23,156 Vol.
NEW
$23,156 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$334 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,386 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,931 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$4,031 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$5,321 Vol.
52%
82-83°F
$2,784 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$3,453 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$2,681 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under sunny skies, light southwest winds, and reduced humidity following earlier frontal passage. These stable high-pressure conditions, typical for late August, limit convective heating and cap daytime maxima in the lower 80s rather than allowing the seasonal average of 82°F to be exceeded. Recent observations from Central Park and nearby stations confirm similar maxima the prior day, reinforcing trader positioning around the 80-81°F bin at 51.5% implied probability while assigning lower weight to 82-83°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$23,156End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under sunny skies, light southwest winds, and reduced humidity following earlier frontal passage. These stable high-pressure conditions, typical for late August, limit convective heating and cap daytime maxima in the lower 80s rather than allowing the seasonal average of 82°F to be exceeded. Recent observations from Central Park and nearby stations confirm similar maxima the prior day, reinforcing trader positioning around the 80-81°F bin at 51.5% implied probability while assigning lower weight to 82-83°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,156End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under sunny skies, light southwest winds, and reduced humidity following earlier frontal passage. These stable high-pressure conditions, typical for late August, limit convective heating and cap daytime maxima in the lower 80s rather than allowing the seasonal average of 82°F to be exceeded. Recent observations from Central Park and nearby stations confirm similar maxima the prior day, reinforcing trader positioning around the 80-81°F bin at 51.5% implied probability while assigning lower weight to 82-83°F outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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