Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office and NOAA-aligned services indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum near 32°C today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is 31°C, and recent observations show afternoon readings climbing from the upper 20s°C into the low 30s°C without signs of rapid intensification or significant cooling. The market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 32°C reflects this model consensus and real-time data, with only modest odds on 33°C. A late-day surge from unexpected clear skies or measurement variance could push the official high to 33°C or higher, while stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover might cap it at 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
32°C 97%
33°C 1.3%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$54,567 Vol.
$54,567 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
97%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 97%
33°C 1.3%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$54,567 Vol.
$54,567 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,127 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,978 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$14,023 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,386 Vol.
97%
33°C
$8,809 Vol.
1%
34°C
$7,798 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$4,294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office and NOAA-aligned services indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum near 32°C today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is 31°C, and recent observations show afternoon readings climbing from the upper 20s°C into the low 30s°C without signs of rapid intensification or significant cooling. The market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 32°C reflects this model consensus and real-time data, with only modest odds on 33°C. A late-day surge from unexpected clear skies or measurement variance could push the official high to 33°C or higher, while stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover might cap it at 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$54,567End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office and NOAA-aligned services indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum near 32°C today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is 31°C, and recent observations show afternoon readings climbing from the upper 20s°C into the low 30s°C without signs of rapid intensification or significant cooling. The market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 32°C reflects this model consensus and real-time data, with only modest odds on 33°C. A late-day surge from unexpected clear skies or measurement variance could push the official high to 33°C or higher, while stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover might cap it at 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,567End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office and NOAA-aligned services indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum near 32°C today under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is 31°C, and recent observations show afternoon readings climbing from the upper 20s°C into the low 30s°C without signs of rapid intensification or significant cooling. The market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 32°C reflects this model consensus and real-time data, with only modest odds on 33°C. A late-day surge from unexpected clear skies or measurement variance could push the official high to 33°C or higher, while stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover might cap it at 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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