**Stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Istanbul near the low 20s °C on August 24, 2026, positioning 22–23 °C as the market’s leading outcomes.** Clear skies promote radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island and proximity to the relatively warm Sea of Marmara (around 24 °C) limit further drops, consistent with recent station readings showing early-morning lows of 21–23 °C and model consensus from GFS and local forecasts for a minimum near 22 °C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture are altering the pattern, so traders see little chance of sub-20 °C readings or a rebound above 24 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance through the evening will be the next key data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
18°C or below 59%
20°C 35%
19°C 17%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
59%
19°C
17%
20°C
35%
21°C
-
22°C
34%
23°C
45%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 59%
20°C 35%
19°C 17%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$54 Vol.
59%
19°C
$20 Vol.
17%
20°C
$77 Vol.
35%
21°C
$82 Vol.
-
22°C
$5 Vol.
34%
23°C
$45 Vol.
45%
24°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Istanbul near the low 20s °C on August 24, 2026, positioning 22–23 °C as the market’s leading outcomes.** Clear skies promote radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island and proximity to the relatively warm Sea of Marmara (around 24 °C) limit further drops, consistent with recent station readings showing early-morning lows of 21–23 °C and model consensus from GFS and local forecasts for a minimum near 22 °C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture are altering the pattern, so traders see little chance of sub-20 °C readings or a rebound above 24 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance through the evening will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,733End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Istanbul near the low 20s °C on August 24, 2026, positioning 22–23 °C as the market’s leading outcomes.** Clear skies promote radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island and proximity to the relatively warm Sea of Marmara (around 24 °C) limit further drops, consistent with recent station readings showing early-morning lows of 21–23 °C and model consensus from GFS and local forecasts for a minimum near 22 °C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture are altering the pattern, so traders see little chance of sub-20 °C readings or a rebound above 24 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance through the evening will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,733End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Istanbul near the low 20s °C on August 24, 2026, positioning 22–23 °C as the market’s leading outcomes.** Clear skies promote radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island and proximity to the relatively warm Sea of Marmara (around 24 °C) limit further drops, consistent with recent station readings showing early-morning lows of 21–23 °C and model consensus from GFS and local forecasts for a minimum near 22 °C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture are altering the pattern, so traders see little chance of sub-20 °C readings or a rebound above 24 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance through the evening will be the next key data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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