**Typical late-summer subtropical conditions in Miami point to an overnight low in the upper 70s, driving the strong market consensus around 78-79°F.** Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and high humidity (dew points near 75°F), consistent with Miami’s climatological average low of 77.6°F for August 24. Early-morning observations on the 24th already hovered near 80°F, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to produce sharper cooling. The 78-79°F bin captures the most probable range given model consensus and historical baselines, while lower outcomes (below 76°F) remain unlikely absent atypical steering or radiative cooling. Traders appear to be weighting these stable seasonal factors heavily, with limited upside for warmer lows under the prevailing humid, marine-influenced regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
61%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$39 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$39 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$520 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$165 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$80 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$266 Vol.
61%
80-81°F
$968 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$871 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$189 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$299 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Typical late-summer subtropical conditions in Miami point to an overnight low in the upper 70s, driving the strong market consensus around 78-79°F.**
Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and high humidity (dew points near 75°F), consistent with Miami’s climatological average low of 77.6°F for August 24. Early-morning observations on the 24th already hovered near 80°F, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to produce sharper cooling. The 78-79°F bin captures the most probable range given model consensus and historical baselines, while lower outcomes (below 76°F) remain unlikely absent atypical steering or radiative cooling. Traders appear to be weighting these stable seasonal factors heavily, with limited upside for warmer lows under the prevailing humid, marine-influenced regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,634End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Typical late-summer subtropical conditions in Miami point to an overnight low in the upper 70s, driving the strong market consensus around 78-79°F.**
Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and high humidity (dew points near 75°F), consistent with Miami’s climatological average low of 77.6°F for August 24. Early-morning observations on the 24th already hovered near 80°F, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to produce sharper cooling. The 78-79°F bin captures the most probable range given model consensus and historical baselines, while lower outcomes (below 76°F) remain unlikely absent atypical steering or radiative cooling. Traders appear to be weighting these stable seasonal factors heavily, with limited upside for warmer lows under the prevailing humid, marine-influenced regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,634End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Typical late-summer subtropical conditions in Miami point to an overnight low in the upper 70s, driving the strong market consensus around 78-79°F.** Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and high humidity (dew points near 75°F), consistent with Miami’s climatological average low of 77.6°F for August 24. Early-morning observations on the 24th already hovered near 80°F, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to produce sharper cooling. The 78-79°F bin captures the most probable range given model consensus and historical baselines, while lower outcomes (below 76°F) remain unlikely absent atypical steering or radiative cooling. Traders appear to be weighting these stable seasonal factors heavily, with limited upside for warmer lows under the prevailing humid, marine-influenced regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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