Recent forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich near 13–15°C on August 26, driven by a mix of cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from passing fronts that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C bins because small shifts in timing or intensity of these conditions—such as clearer skies allowing greater heat loss or brief showers moderating temperatures—can easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this uncertainty two days out, with historical August baselines around 13°C underscoring how typical late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed rather than pinned to any single outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
8°C or below 69%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
12°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
69%
9°C
8%
10°C
15%
11°C
26%
12°C
29%
13°C
27%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
1%
8°C or below 69%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
12°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
9°C
$0 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
15%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich near 13–15°C on August 26, driven by a mix of cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from passing fronts that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C bins because small shifts in timing or intensity of these conditions—such as clearer skies allowing greater heat loss or brief showers moderating temperatures—can easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this uncertainty two days out, with historical August baselines around 13°C underscoring how typical late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed rather than pinned to any single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich near 13–15°C on August 26, driven by a mix of cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from passing fronts that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C bins because small shifts in timing or intensity of these conditions—such as clearer skies allowing greater heat loss or brief showers moderating temperatures—can easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this uncertainty two days out, with historical August baselines around 13°C underscoring how typical late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed rather than pinned to any single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich near 13–15°C on August 26, driven by a mix of cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from passing fronts that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C bins because small shifts in timing or intensity of these conditions—such as clearer skies allowing greater heat loss or brief showers moderating temperatures—can easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs highlight this uncertainty two days out, with historical August baselines around 13°C underscoring how typical late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed rather than pinned to any single outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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