Traders see the lowest temperature in Taipei on August 27 clustering tightly around 26–28°C because late-August subtropical conditions under a typical ridge typically produce overnight lows near the long-term average of 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation that favor this narrow range, while weak monsoon flow adds only marginal uncertainty. Adjacent buckets at 24°C and 29°C+ receive slightly lower implied odds due to the historical rarity of larger deviations this time of year. Fresh model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could shift positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 27?
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
16%
23°C
19%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
29%
27°C
34%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C
2%
31°C
36%
32°C or higher
40%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
47%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Taipei on August 27 clustering tightly around 26–28°C because late-August subtropical conditions under a typical ridge typically produce overnight lows near the long-term average of 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation that favor this narrow range, while weak monsoon flow adds only marginal uncertainty. Adjacent buckets at 24°C and 29°C+ receive slightly lower implied odds due to the historical rarity of larger deviations this time of year. Fresh model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Taipei on August 27 clustering tightly around 26–28°C because late-August subtropical conditions under a typical ridge typically produce overnight lows near the long-term average of 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation that favor this narrow range, while weak monsoon flow adds only marginal uncertainty. Adjacent buckets at 24°C and 29°C+ receive slightly lower implied odds due to the historical rarity of larger deviations this time of year. Fresh model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Taipei on August 27 clustering tightly around 26–28°C because late-August subtropical conditions under a typical ridge typically produce overnight lows near the long-term average of 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation that favor this narrow range, while weak monsoon flow adds only marginal uncertainty. Adjacent buckets at 24°C and 29°C+ receive slightly lower implied odds due to the historical rarity of larger deviations this time of year. Fresh model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could shift positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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