Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds the leading trader consensus at 55% for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages from name recognition and PSB alliances. Recent surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel show him ahead or tied with 23–26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), whose lower market prices align with their second-tier polling positions. The field remains fragmented with eight registered candidates, including Alcides Fernandes (PL), after withdrawals narrowed options and concentrated attention on the top contenders. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep the contest competitive, with separation likely hinging on final-week polling shifts, coalition endorsements, campaign momentum, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs in the remaining weeks before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCid Gomes 55%
Luizianne 17%
Capitão Wagner 14%
Alcides Fernandes 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
55%
Luizianne
17%
Capitão Wagner
14%
Alcides Fernandes
6%
Catarina Matos
5%
Lino Alves
4%
Reginaldo
4%
Guilherme Theophilo
4%
Cid Gomes 55%
Luizianne 17%
Capitão Wagner 14%
Alcides Fernandes 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$2,523 Vol.
55%
Luizianne
$95 Vol.
17%
Capitão Wagner
$195 Vol.
14%
Alcides Fernandes
$122 Vol.
6%
Catarina Matos
$109 Vol.
5%
Lino Alves
$86 Vol.
4%
Reginaldo
$88 Vol.
4%
Guilherme Theophilo
$86 Vol.
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds the leading trader consensus at 55% for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages from name recognition and PSB alliances. Recent surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel show him ahead or tied with 23–26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), whose lower market prices align with their second-tier polling positions. The field remains fragmented with eight registered candidates, including Alcides Fernandes (PL), after withdrawals narrowed options and concentrated attention on the top contenders. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep the contest competitive, with separation likely hinging on final-week polling shifts, coalition endorsements, campaign momentum, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs in the remaining weeks before the vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,305End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds the leading trader consensus at 55% for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages from name recognition and PSB alliances. Recent surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel show him ahead or tied with 23–26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), whose lower market prices align with their second-tier polling positions. The field remains fragmented with eight registered candidates, including Alcides Fernandes (PL), after withdrawals narrowed options and concentrated attention on the top contenders. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep the contest competitive, with separation likely hinging on final-week polling shifts, coalition endorsements, campaign momentum, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs in the remaining weeks before the vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,305End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds the leading trader consensus at 55% for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages from name recognition and PSB alliances. Recent surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel show him ahead or tied with 23–26% support, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), whose lower market prices align with their second-tier polling positions. The field remains fragmented with eight registered candidates, including Alcides Fernandes (PL), after withdrawals narrowed options and concentrated attention on the top contenders. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep the contest competitive, with separation likely hinging on final-week polling shifts, coalition endorsements, campaign momentum, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs in the remaining weeks before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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