Latest National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA ensemble models indicate a high of 90–93°F in Denver on August 24 under persistent high-pressure ridging, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud cover or mixing. This setup produces above-normal warmth relative to the late-August climatological average near 86°F, though a 30–40% chance of late-day thunderstorms could slightly suppress the peak if convection develops earlier than expected. Model consensus clusters tightly around 90–92°F, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that place roughly 90% combined weight on the 90–93°F bins while assigning minimal odds to extremes beyond historical late-summer variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 24?
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
$16,588 Vol.
$16,588 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
$16,588 Vol.
$16,588 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA ensemble models indicate a high of 90–93°F in Denver on August 24 under persistent high-pressure ridging, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud cover or mixing. This setup produces above-normal warmth relative to the late-August climatological average near 86°F, though a 30–40% chance of late-day thunderstorms could slightly suppress the peak if convection develops earlier than expected. Model consensus clusters tightly around 90–92°F, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that place roughly 90% combined weight on the 90–93°F bins while assigning minimal odds to extremes beyond historical late-summer variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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