Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35–36°C for August 24 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate, where persistent late-summer heat, high humidity around 60–70%, and the urban heat island effect support elevated readings. A yellow high-temperature warning remains active for thresholds of 35°C and above, while northeasterly winds of 2–3 Beaufort, variable cloud cover, and potential scattered thunderstorms or showers could moderate peak values depending on timing. Model consensus clusters tightly around 35°C, yet forecast uncertainty ranges and historical August variability position 36°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability, with 37°C or higher at 35.5%. Updated model runs and evening local observations will further refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
36°C 49%
37°C or higher 33%
35°C 16%
34°C 4%
NEW
$11,133 Vol.
NEW
$11,133 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
16%
36°C
49%
37°C or higher
33%
36°C 49%
37°C or higher 33%
35°C 16%
34°C 4%
NEW
$11,133 Vol.
NEW
$11,133 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$685 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,548 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,881 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,261 Vol.
4%
35°C
$1,376 Vol.
16%
36°C
$1,300 Vol.
49%
37°C or higher
$1,668 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35–36°C for August 24 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate, where persistent late-summer heat, high humidity around 60–70%, and the urban heat island effect support elevated readings. A yellow high-temperature warning remains active for thresholds of 35°C and above, while northeasterly winds of 2–3 Beaufort, variable cloud cover, and potential scattered thunderstorms or showers could moderate peak values depending on timing. Model consensus clusters tightly around 35°C, yet forecast uncertainty ranges and historical August variability position 36°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability, with 37°C or higher at 35.5%. Updated model runs and evening local observations will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,133End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35–36°C for August 24 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate, where persistent late-summer heat, high humidity around 60–70%, and the urban heat island effect support elevated readings. A yellow high-temperature warning remains active for thresholds of 35°C and above, while northeasterly winds of 2–3 Beaufort, variable cloud cover, and potential scattered thunderstorms or showers could moderate peak values depending on timing. Model consensus clusters tightly around 35°C, yet forecast uncertainty ranges and historical August variability position 36°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability, with 37°C or higher at 35.5%. Updated model runs and evening local observations will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,133End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35–36°C for August 24 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate, where persistent late-summer heat, high humidity around 60–70%, and the urban heat island effect support elevated readings. A yellow high-temperature warning remains active for thresholds of 35°C and above, while northeasterly winds of 2–3 Beaufort, variable cloud cover, and potential scattered thunderstorms or showers could moderate peak values depending on timing. Model consensus clusters tightly around 35°C, yet forecast uncertainty ranges and historical August variability position 36°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability, with 37°C or higher at 35.5%. Updated model runs and evening local observations will further refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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