**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a daily minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s strongest consensus around 28°C.** Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limit overnight cooling, keeping minimums near or above 27°C even as daytime highs reach 34–37°C. Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, project a low of 27.7–28°C (or ~83°F), with early-morning readings already holding near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds. Persistent warm advection and limited precipitation (scattered showers at most, with low probabilities) have prevented any significant drop, consistent with climatological norms where August minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong frontal passage. No major cooling systems or model runs indicating sub-27°C conditions have emerged in the latest updates, supporting trader positioning on the 28°C outcome while leaving modest probability on nearby values like 25–27°C should localized clearing or measurement variance occur. Resolution will depend on official station data from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau for the calendar day’s lowest recorded temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
24°C 16%
27°C 2%
30°C <1%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
16%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
26%
28°C
70%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 16%
27°C 2%
30°C <1%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$141 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$94 Vol.
16%
25°C
$85 Vol.
-
26°C
$75 Vol.
-
27°C
$30 Vol.
26%
28°C
$135 Vol.
70%
29°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,506 Vol.
1%
31°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$370 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a daily minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s strongest consensus around 28°C.**
Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limit overnight cooling, keeping minimums near or above 27°C even as daytime highs reach 34–37°C. Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, project a low of 27.7–28°C (or ~83°F), with early-morning readings already holding near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds.
Persistent warm advection and limited precipitation (scattered showers at most, with low probabilities) have prevented any significant drop, consistent with climatological norms where August minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong frontal passage. No major cooling systems or model runs indicating sub-27°C conditions have emerged in the latest updates, supporting trader positioning on the 28°C outcome while leaving modest probability on nearby values like 25–27°C should localized clearing or measurement variance occur. Resolution will depend on official station data from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau for the calendar day’s lowest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$4,041End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a daily minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s strongest consensus around 28°C.**
Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limit overnight cooling, keeping minimums near or above 27°C even as daytime highs reach 34–37°C. Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, project a low of 27.7–28°C (or ~83°F), with early-morning readings already holding near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds.
Persistent warm advection and limited precipitation (scattered showers at most, with low probabilities) have prevented any significant drop, consistent with climatological norms where August minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong frontal passage. No major cooling systems or model runs indicating sub-27°C conditions have emerged in the latest updates, supporting trader positioning on the 28°C outcome while leaving modest probability on nearby values like 25–27°C should localized clearing or measurement variance occur. Resolution will depend on official station data from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau for the calendar day’s lowest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,041End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a daily minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s strongest consensus around 28°C.** Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August features high humidity and urban heat retention that typically limit overnight cooling, keeping minimums near or above 27°C even as daytime highs reach 34–37°C. Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, project a low of 27.7–28°C (or ~83°F), with early-morning readings already holding near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds. Persistent warm advection and limited precipitation (scattered showers at most, with low probabilities) have prevented any significant drop, consistent with climatological norms where August minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong frontal passage. No major cooling systems or model runs indicating sub-27°C conditions have emerged in the latest updates, supporting trader positioning on the 28°C outcome while leaving modest probability on nearby values like 25–27°C should localized clearing or measurement variance occur. Resolution will depend on official station data from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau for the calendar day’s lowest recorded temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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