**Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds over Busan on August 24, 2026, supporting an afternoon peak near 34–35 °C.** Clear conditions allow strong solar heating while moderate humidity and sea-breeze moderation limit extremes, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32 °C. Minor model spread arises from exact timing of peak insolation and localized urban effects, keeping the distribution centered on 34–36 °C. Traders appear to weight these official guidance products heavily, as reflected in the dominant 34–36 °C probabilities, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Final resolution will depend on the highest instantaneous reading from official stations during the 24-hour period ending midnight KST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 55%
36°C 27%
34°C 16%
37°C 5%
NEW
$11,483 Vol.
NEW
$11,483 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
16%
35°C
55%
36°C
27%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 55%
36°C 27%
34°C 16%
37°C 5%
NEW
$11,483 Vol.
NEW
$11,483 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$48 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,154 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,173 Vol.
16%
35°C
$2,158 Vol.
55%
36°C
$2,629 Vol.
27%
37°C
$1,577 Vol.
5%
38°C or higher
$1,223 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds over Busan on August 24, 2026, supporting an afternoon peak near 34–35 °C.**
Clear conditions allow strong solar heating while moderate humidity and sea-breeze moderation limit extremes, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32 °C. Minor model spread arises from exact timing of peak insolation and localized urban effects, keeping the distribution centered on 34–36 °C. Traders appear to weight these official guidance products heavily, as reflected in the dominant 34–36 °C probabilities, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Final resolution will depend on the highest instantaneous reading from official stations during the 24-hour period ending midnight KST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,483End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds over Busan on August 24, 2026, supporting an afternoon peak near 34–35 °C.**
Clear conditions allow strong solar heating while moderate humidity and sea-breeze moderation limit extremes, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32 °C. Minor model spread arises from exact timing of peak insolation and localized urban effects, keeping the distribution centered on 34–36 °C. Traders appear to weight these official guidance products heavily, as reflected in the dominant 34–36 °C probabilities, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Final resolution will depend on the highest instantaneous reading from official stations during the 24-hour period ending midnight KST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,483End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds over Busan on August 24, 2026, supporting an afternoon peak near 34–35 °C.** Clear conditions allow strong solar heating while moderate humidity and sea-breeze moderation limit extremes, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32 °C. Minor model spread arises from exact timing of peak insolation and localized urban effects, keeping the distribution centered on 34–36 °C. Traders appear to weight these official guidance products heavily, as reflected in the dominant 34–36 °C probabilities, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Final resolution will depend on the highest instantaneous reading from official stations during the 24-hour period ending midnight KST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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