Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Western Cape are anchoring trader consensus around a modest daily high near 19°C for Cape Town on August 24, reflected in its leading 49% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 18–19°C under light south-southeasterly winds, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and recent observations showing no incoming fronts or warming advection. The 25% odds on 20°C and 20.5% on 18°C capture residual model spread and local variability around the airport versus city center, while lower probabilities for extremes underscore the narrow uncertainty range typical this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
19°C 50%
20°C 25%
18°C 21%
21°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
21%
19°C
50%
20°C
25%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 50%
20°C 25%
18°C 21%
21°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
$104 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$485 Vol.
2%
17°C
$598 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,118 Vol.
21%
19°C
$1,618 Vol.
50%
20°C
$2,518 Vol.
25%
21°C
$587 Vol.
5%
22°C
$500 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$476 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Western Cape are anchoring trader consensus around a modest daily high near 19°C for Cape Town on August 24, reflected in its leading 49% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 18–19°C under light south-southeasterly winds, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and recent observations showing no incoming fronts or warming advection. The 25% odds on 20°C and 20.5% on 18°C capture residual model spread and local variability around the airport versus city center, while lower probabilities for extremes underscore the narrow uncertainty range typical this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,366End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Western Cape are anchoring trader consensus around a modest daily high near 19°C for Cape Town on August 24, reflected in its leading 49% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 18–19°C under light south-southeasterly winds, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and recent observations showing no incoming fronts or warming advection. The 25% odds on 20°C and 20.5% on 18°C capture residual model spread and local variability around the airport versus city center, while lower probabilities for extremes underscore the narrow uncertainty range typical this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,366End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Western Cape are anchoring trader consensus around a modest daily high near 19°C for Cape Town on August 24, reflected in its leading 49% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 18–19°C under light south-southeasterly winds, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and recent observations showing no incoming fronts or warming advection. The 25% odds on 20°C and 20.5% on 18°C capture residual model spread and local variability around the airport versus city center, while lower probabilities for extremes underscore the narrow uncertainty range typical this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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