Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 24 with northeast winds of 5–9 m/s, supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C and positioning 28–29 °C as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures close to seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air, while limited cloud cover and light precipitation chances reinforce the narrow range around the market leaders at 61.5 % for 28 °C and 19 % for 29 °C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and local urban heat effects introduce the observed uncertainty reflected in the 15.5 % implied probability for 27 °C. Updated guidance later today and overnight observational data will further refine resolution criteria for the official maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 63%
29°C 19%
27°C 16%
26°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
63%
29°C
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 63%
29°C 19%
27°C 16%
26°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$281 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$319 Vol.
1%
26°C
$267 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,427 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,970 Vol.
63%
29°C
$689 Vol.
19%
30°C
$342 Vol.
3%
31°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$988 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 24 with northeast winds of 5–9 m/s, supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C and positioning 28–29 °C as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures close to seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air, while limited cloud cover and light precipitation chances reinforce the narrow range around the market leaders at 61.5 % for 28 °C and 19 % for 29 °C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and local urban heat effects introduce the observed uncertainty reflected in the 15.5 % implied probability for 27 °C. Updated guidance later today and overnight observational data will further refine resolution criteria for the official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,917End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 24 with northeast winds of 5–9 m/s, supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C and positioning 28–29 °C as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures close to seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air, while limited cloud cover and light precipitation chances reinforce the narrow range around the market leaders at 61.5 % for 28 °C and 19 % for 29 °C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and local urban heat effects introduce the observed uncertainty reflected in the 15.5 % implied probability for 27 °C. Updated guidance later today and overnight observational data will further refine resolution criteria for the official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,917End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 24 with northeast winds of 5–9 m/s, supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C and positioning 28–29 °C as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures close to seasonal averages without significant advection of warmer air, while limited cloud cover and light precipitation chances reinforce the narrow range around the market leaders at 61.5 % for 28 °C and 19 % for 29 °C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and local urban heat effects introduce the observed uncertainty reflected in the 15.5 % implied probability for 27 °C. Updated guidance later today and overnight observational data will further refine resolution criteria for the official maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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