Strong model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, southerly flow, and typical late-summer heating over the North China Plain. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold amid seasonal norms where August averages reach 30–32°C, with recent days already showing comparable heat and only isolated thunderstorms unlikely to suppress maxima. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C or higher reflects this short-range predictability, where ensemble agreement narrows uncertainty. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold advection or major measurement anomaly at official stations could alter resolution, both exceedingly rare within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
26°C or higher 99.9%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.9%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,967 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, southerly flow, and typical late-summer heating over the North China Plain. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold amid seasonal norms where August averages reach 30–32°C, with recent days already showing comparable heat and only isolated thunderstorms unlikely to suppress maxima. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C or higher reflects this short-range predictability, where ensemble agreement narrows uncertainty. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold advection or major measurement anomaly at official stations could alter resolution, both exceedingly rare within 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,836End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, southerly flow, and typical late-summer heating over the North China Plain. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold amid seasonal norms where August averages reach 30–32°C, with recent days already showing comparable heat and only isolated thunderstorms unlikely to suppress maxima. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C or higher reflects this short-range predictability, where ensemble agreement narrows uncertainty. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold advection or major measurement anomaly at official stations could alter resolution, both exceedingly rare within 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,836End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, southerly flow, and typical late-summer heating over the North China Plain. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold amid seasonal norms where August averages reach 30–32°C, with recent days already showing comparable heat and only isolated thunderstorms unlikely to suppress maxima. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C or higher reflects this short-range predictability, where ensemble agreement narrows uncertainty. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold advection or major measurement anomaly at official stations could alter resolution, both exceedingly rare within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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