Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department converge on a narrow 31–34 °C range for Karachi’s August 24 maximum at the Masroor station, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (33%) and 33 °C (43.5%). Persistent southwest monsoon flow and the moderating sea breeze off the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation, suppress daytime heating below seasonal extremes. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 33 °C, with low precipitation risk and steady 10–15 mph winds further anchoring expectations. Updated model runs through August 23 show minimal spread, sustaining trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of the final observational window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
32%
33°C
44%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$230 Vol.
1%
30°C
$257 Vol.
3%
31°C
$968 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,145 Vol.
32%
33°C
$1,358 Vol.
44%
34°C
$987 Vol.
11%
35°C
$107 Vol.
3%
36°C
$46 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$158 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department converge on a narrow 31–34 °C range for Karachi’s August 24 maximum at the Masroor station, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (33%) and 33 °C (43.5%). Persistent southwest monsoon flow and the moderating sea breeze off the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation, suppress daytime heating below seasonal extremes. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 33 °C, with low precipitation risk and steady 10–15 mph winds further anchoring expectations. Updated model runs through August 23 show minimal spread, sustaining trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of the final observational window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,476End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department converge on a narrow 31–34 °C range for Karachi’s August 24 maximum at the Masroor station, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (33%) and 33 °C (43.5%). Persistent southwest monsoon flow and the moderating sea breeze off the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation, suppress daytime heating below seasonal extremes. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 33 °C, with low precipitation risk and steady 10–15 mph winds further anchoring expectations. Updated model runs through August 23 show minimal spread, sustaining trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of the final observational window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,476End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department converge on a narrow 31–34 °C range for Karachi’s August 24 maximum at the Masroor station, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (33%) and 33 °C (43.5%). Persistent southwest monsoon flow and the moderating sea breeze off the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation, suppress daytime heating below seasonal extremes. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 33 °C, with low precipitation risk and steady 10–15 mph winds further anchoring expectations. Updated model runs through August 23 show minimal spread, sustaining trader consensus around these central outcomes ahead of the final observational window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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