**Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate peak heating.** Model consensus across sources clusters near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology of 30–32°C daytime highs and minimal precipitation risk. Trader positioning favoring the 33°C outcome at 62% implied probability likely reflects historical model underestimation of afternoon warming in clear, low-wind conditions and recent mid-month observations reaching 34–35°C. Limited upside potential for 34°C+ stems from modest forecast spreads and the moderating influence of coastal location, keeping lower bins (31°C and below) at under 4% combined. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
33°C 63%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
33%
33°C
63%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 63%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
$310 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$475 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,480 Vol.
33%
33°C
$1,486 Vol.
63%
34°C
$814 Vol.
7%
35°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$553 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate peak heating.** Model consensus across sources clusters near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology of 30–32°C daytime highs and minimal precipitation risk. Trader positioning favoring the 33°C outcome at 62% implied probability likely reflects historical model underestimation of afternoon warming in clear, low-wind conditions and recent mid-month observations reaching 34–35°C. Limited upside potential for 34°C+ stems from modest forecast spreads and the moderating influence of coastal location, keeping lower bins (31°C and below) at under 4% combined. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,781End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate peak heating.** Model consensus across sources clusters near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology of 30–32°C daytime highs and minimal precipitation risk. Trader positioning favoring the 33°C outcome at 62% implied probability likely reflects historical model underestimation of afternoon warming in clear, low-wind conditions and recent mid-month observations reaching 34–35°C. Limited upside potential for 34°C+ stems from modest forecast spreads and the moderating influence of coastal location, keeping lower bins (31°C and below) at under 4% combined. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,781End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate peak heating.** Model consensus across sources clusters near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology of 30–32°C daytime highs and minimal precipitation risk. Trader positioning favoring the 33°C outcome at 62% implied probability likely reflects historical model underestimation of afternoon warming in clear, low-wind conditions and recent mid-month observations reaching 34–35°C. Limited upside potential for 34°C+ stems from modest forecast spreads and the moderating influence of coastal location, keeping lower bins (31°C and below) at under 4% combined. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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