Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF shows mostly clear skies, light westerly flow, and daytime highs near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 25, aligning with late-summer climatology yet leaving room for modest upward revisions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (55.5%) over 34°C (27.0%) and lower outcomes reflects trader assessment of ensemble spread, urban heat-island influences on official measurements, and the potential for slightly stronger insolation or model warm bias. Dry conditions and stable pressure patterns limit extreme departures, while updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$198 Vol.
2%
30°C
$84 Vol.
3%
31°C
$193 Vol.
3%
32°C
$112 Vol.
12%
33°C
$383 Vol.
56%
34°C
$154 Vol.
27%
35°C
$98 Vol.
4%
36°C
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C
$52 Vol.
2%
38°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF shows mostly clear skies, light westerly flow, and daytime highs near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 25, aligning with late-summer climatology yet leaving room for modest upward revisions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (55.5%) over 34°C (27.0%) and lower outcomes reflects trader assessment of ensemble spread, urban heat-island influences on official measurements, and the potential for slightly stronger insolation or model warm bias. Dry conditions and stable pressure patterns limit extreme departures, while updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,938End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF shows mostly clear skies, light westerly flow, and daytime highs near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 25, aligning with late-summer climatology yet leaving room for modest upward revisions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (55.5%) over 34°C (27.0%) and lower outcomes reflects trader assessment of ensemble spread, urban heat-island influences on official measurements, and the potential for slightly stronger insolation or model warm bias. Dry conditions and stable pressure patterns limit extreme departures, while updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,938End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF shows mostly clear skies, light westerly flow, and daytime highs near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 25, aligning with late-summer climatology yet leaving room for modest upward revisions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (55.5%) over 34°C (27.0%) and lower outcomes reflects trader assessment of ensemble spread, urban heat-island influences on official measurements, and the potential for slightly stronger insolation or model warm bias. Dry conditions and stable pressure patterns limit extreme departures, while updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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