Current forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by the stable Persian trough regime that maintains warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and limits nocturnal radiative cooling through a persistent marine inversion and light variable winds. High humidity and urban heat island effects in coastal Tel Aviv can further elevate overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging 23–24°C and occasional nocturnal heat events exceeding 26°C under similar clear-sky, weak land-breeze conditions. Recent model consensus shows little change over the past 48 hours, though updated runs ahead of the 25th could shift probabilities if a stronger sea breeze or increased cloud cover develops. Market-implied odds favor this 23–25°C cluster while assigning elevated weight to 28°C+ outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of warm-night persistence amid typical late-summer variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
28°C or higher 91%
20°C 40%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
40%
21°C
14%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
91%
28°C or higher 91%
20°C 40%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
19°C
$119 Vol.
5%
20°C
$75 Vol.
40%
21°C
$6 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$20 Vol.
1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$140 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by the stable Persian trough regime that maintains warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and limits nocturnal radiative cooling through a persistent marine inversion and light variable winds. High humidity and urban heat island effects in coastal Tel Aviv can further elevate overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging 23–24°C and occasional nocturnal heat events exceeding 26°C under similar clear-sky, weak land-breeze conditions. Recent model consensus shows little change over the past 48 hours, though updated runs ahead of the 25th could shift probabilities if a stronger sea breeze or increased cloud cover develops. Market-implied odds favor this 23–25°C cluster while assigning elevated weight to 28°C+ outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of warm-night persistence amid typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$580End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by the stable Persian trough regime that maintains warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and limits nocturnal radiative cooling through a persistent marine inversion and light variable winds. High humidity and urban heat island effects in coastal Tel Aviv can further elevate overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging 23–24°C and occasional nocturnal heat events exceeding 26°C under similar clear-sky, weak land-breeze conditions. Recent model consensus shows little change over the past 48 hours, though updated runs ahead of the 25th could shift probabilities if a stronger sea breeze or increased cloud cover develops. Market-implied odds favor this 23–25°C cluster while assigning elevated weight to 28°C+ outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of warm-night persistence amid typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$580End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by the stable Persian trough regime that maintains warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and limits nocturnal radiative cooling through a persistent marine inversion and light variable winds. High humidity and urban heat island effects in coastal Tel Aviv can further elevate overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging 23–24°C and occasional nocturnal heat events exceeding 26°C under similar clear-sky, weak land-breeze conditions. Recent model consensus shows little change over the past 48 hours, though updated runs ahead of the 25th could shift probabilities if a stronger sea breeze or increased cloud cover develops. Market-implied odds favor this 23–25°C cluster while assigning elevated weight to 28°C+ outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of warm-night persistence amid typical late-summer variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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