Persistent high pressure and clear Mediterranean skies have sustained nocturnal minima near or above seasonal norms of 22–25 °C in Tel Aviv through late August. Short-range model guidance points to a minimum near 23–25 °C on August 24 under light westerly flow and moderating sea breezes, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity and onshore wind timing that govern post-sunset radiative cooling. Drier air or weaker breezes could allow deeper cooling toward 22 °C, while increased low-level moisture would limit the drop near 25 °C. With resolution tied to the Israel Meteorological Service observation, traders are weighting these variables against climatological baselines, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
23°C 32%
24°C 29%
25°C 28%
22°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
23°C 32%
24°C 29%
25°C 28%
22°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$20 Vol.
3%
28°C
$155 Vol.
1%
29°C
$32 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$250 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear Mediterranean skies have sustained nocturnal minima near or above seasonal norms of 22–25 °C in Tel Aviv through late August. Short-range model guidance points to a minimum near 23–25 °C on August 24 under light westerly flow and moderating sea breezes, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity and onshore wind timing that govern post-sunset radiative cooling. Drier air or weaker breezes could allow deeper cooling toward 22 °C, while increased low-level moisture would limit the drop near 25 °C. With resolution tied to the Israel Meteorological Service observation, traders are weighting these variables against climatological baselines, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear Mediterranean skies have sustained nocturnal minima near or above seasonal norms of 22–25 °C in Tel Aviv through late August. Short-range model guidance points to a minimum near 23–25 °C on August 24 under light westerly flow and moderating sea breezes, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity and onshore wind timing that govern post-sunset radiative cooling. Drier air or weaker breezes could allow deeper cooling toward 22 °C, while increased low-level moisture would limit the drop near 25 °C. With resolution tied to the Israel Meteorological Service observation, traders are weighting these variables against climatological baselines, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and clear Mediterranean skies have sustained nocturnal minima near or above seasonal norms of 22–25 °C in Tel Aviv through late August. Short-range model guidance points to a minimum near 23–25 °C on August 24 under light westerly flow and moderating sea breezes, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity and onshore wind timing that govern post-sunset radiative cooling. Drier air or weaker breezes could allow deeper cooling toward 22 °C, while increased low-level moisture would limit the drop near 25 °C. With resolution tied to the Israel Meteorological Service observation, traders are weighting these variables against climatological baselines, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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