**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.** Official outlooks and ensemble data indicate typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs of 30–32°C and minimal overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity (around 70–85%) and stable pressure near 1008–1010 hPa. Historical climatology for the date supports a normal minimum near 24–26°C, and current model runs show no significant deviations or frontal influences that would produce cooler readings. The market-implied 91.5% probability aligns with this narrow expected range. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow enhancing evaporative cooling, potentially lowering the minimum toward 24–25°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
25°C 20%
23°C 13%
24°C 2%
22°C 1.0%
$2,961 Vol.
$2,961 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C
20%
26°C
63%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 20%
23°C 13%
24°C 2%
22°C 1.0%
$2,961 Vol.
$2,961 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$340 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,013 Vol.
1%
23°C
$98 Vol.
13%
24°C
$31 Vol.
2%
25°C
$100 Vol.
20%
26°C
$148 Vol.
63%
27°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.**
Official outlooks and ensemble data indicate typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs of 30–32°C and minimal overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity (around 70–85%) and stable pressure near 1008–1010 hPa. Historical climatology for the date supports a normal minimum near 24–26°C, and current model runs show no significant deviations or frontal influences that would produce cooler readings. The market-implied 91.5% probability aligns with this narrow expected range.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow enhancing evaporative cooling, potentially lowering the minimum toward 24–25°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,961End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.**
Official outlooks and ensemble data indicate typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs of 30–32°C and minimal overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity (around 70–85%) and stable pressure near 1008–1010 hPa. Historical climatology for the date supports a normal minimum near 24–26°C, and current model runs show no significant deviations or frontal influences that would produce cooler readings. The market-implied 91.5% probability aligns with this narrow expected range.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow enhancing evaporative cooling, potentially lowering the minimum toward 24–25°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,961End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.** Official outlooks and ensemble data indicate typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs of 30–32°C and minimal overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity (around 70–85%) and stable pressure near 1008–1010 hPa. Historical climatology for the date supports a normal minimum near 24–26°C, and current model runs show no significant deviations or frontal influences that would produce cooler readings. The market-implied 91.5% probability aligns with this narrow expected range. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow enhancing evaporative cooling, potentially lowering the minimum toward 24–25°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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