**Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Busan’s overnight minimum on August 24 will likely settle near 26°C.** Clear skies and a warm, humid maritime air mass are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and high dew points (around 24–26°C) prevent temperatures from dropping further. Coastal effects from the Korea Strait add mild moderation, keeping the low above the late-August climatological average of roughly 24°C. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 25–27°C with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (64%) and nearby outcomes. Updated observations through early morning and any final model guidance before resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
24°C 34%
25°C 26%
23°C 24%
22°C 22%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
22%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
26%
26°C
64%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
25°C 26%
23°C 24%
22°C 22%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
22%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
26%
26°C
64%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Busan’s overnight minimum on August 24 will likely settle near 26°C.** Clear skies and a warm, humid maritime air mass are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and high dew points (around 24–26°C) prevent temperatures from dropping further. Coastal effects from the Korea Strait add mild moderation, keeping the low above the late-August climatological average of roughly 24°C. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 25–27°C with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (64%) and nearby outcomes. Updated observations through early morning and any final model guidance before resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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