Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Denver’s official low on August 24 will most likely fall in the mid-60s °F, consistent with the closely matched leading market buckets at 64–67 °F. Persistent southwesterly flow, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent August conditions have run several degrees above the 1991–2020 normal, yet the latest forecast shift toward 60–62 °F lows in some guidance introduces the observed 24.5 % probability on 55 °F or below. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus mid-60s range against the narrow but plausible window for additional cooling if storms clear earlier than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 24?
55°F or below 49%
64-65°F 37%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
49%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
55°F or below 49%
64-65°F 37%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
$117 Vol.
49%
56-57°F
$80 Vol.
5%
58-59°F
$64 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
10%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
15%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
31%
66-67°F
$13 Vol.
30%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$85 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$137 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Denver’s official low on August 24 will most likely fall in the mid-60s °F, consistent with the closely matched leading market buckets at 64–67 °F. Persistent southwesterly flow, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent August conditions have run several degrees above the 1991–2020 normal, yet the latest forecast shift toward 60–62 °F lows in some guidance introduces the observed 24.5 % probability on 55 °F or below. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus mid-60s range against the narrow but plausible window for additional cooling if storms clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$531End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Denver’s official low on August 24 will most likely fall in the mid-60s °F, consistent with the closely matched leading market buckets at 64–67 °F. Persistent southwesterly flow, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent August conditions have run several degrees above the 1991–2020 normal, yet the latest forecast shift toward 60–62 °F lows in some guidance introduces the observed 24.5 % probability on 55 °F or below. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus mid-60s range against the narrow but plausible window for additional cooling if storms clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$531End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Denver’s official low on August 24 will most likely fall in the mid-60s °F, consistent with the closely matched leading market buckets at 64–67 °F. Persistent southwesterly flow, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent August conditions have run several degrees above the 1991–2020 normal, yet the latest forecast shift toward 60–62 °F lows in some guidance introduces the observed 24.5 % probability on 55 °F or below. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus mid-60s range against the narrow but plausible window for additional cooling if storms clear earlier than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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