Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China coast are the main factors anchoring trader focus on a 27–28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official guidance projects 27–31°C under southwesterly winds of 4–5 m/s, with GFS and ECMWF models showing similar nocturnal ranges near 27°C. High humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling from persistent clouds reduce the chance of deeper drops, while thunderstorm timing or brief clear spells introduce minor model divergence. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with the market clustering around 27°C (35.5%) and 28°C (45.5%). Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 45%
27°C 36%
29°C 14%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
36%
28°C
45%
29°C
14%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
27°C 36%
29°C 14%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$742 Vol.
1%
25°C
$292 Vol.
3%
26°C
$747 Vol.
9%
27°C
$1,837 Vol.
36%
28°C
$1,439 Vol.
45%
29°C
$3,029 Vol.
14%
30°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China coast are the main factors anchoring trader focus on a 27–28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official guidance projects 27–31°C under southwesterly winds of 4–5 m/s, with GFS and ECMWF models showing similar nocturnal ranges near 27°C. High humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling from persistent clouds reduce the chance of deeper drops, while thunderstorm timing or brief clear spells introduce minor model divergence. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with the market clustering around 27°C (35.5%) and 28°C (45.5%). Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,708End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China coast are the main factors anchoring trader focus on a 27–28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official guidance projects 27–31°C under southwesterly winds of 4–5 m/s, with GFS and ECMWF models showing similar nocturnal ranges near 27°C. High humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling from persistent clouds reduce the chance of deeper drops, while thunderstorm timing or brief clear spells introduce minor model divergence. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with the market clustering around 27°C (35.5%) and 28°C (45.5%). Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,708End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China coast are the main factors anchoring trader focus on a 27–28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official guidance projects 27–31°C under southwesterly winds of 4–5 m/s, with GFS and ECMWF models showing similar nocturnal ranges near 27°C. High humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling from persistent clouds reduce the chance of deeper drops, while thunderstorm timing or brief clear spells introduce minor model divergence. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with the market clustering around 27°C (35.5%) and 28°C (45.5%). Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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