Model consensus from meteorological agencies supports a minimum near 27°C in Karachi on August 24, aligning with the market's leading 61% implied probability for that threshold. Karachi's coastal location and Arabian Sea influence typically limit overnight radiative cooling during the monsoon, while elevated humidity and light winds maintain lows around the 26–27°C climatological baseline for late August. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal mean temperatures but stable overnight conditions amid below-normal rainfall, reducing variability that could push minima lower. Updated model runs and any final pre-dawn observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
27°C 61%
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
25°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
61%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
10%
27°C 61%
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
25°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$80 Vol.
1%
22°C
$145 Vol.
4%
23°C
$96 Vol.
1%
24°C
$21 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$67 Vol.
61%
28°C
$19 Vol.
19%
29°C
$44 Vol.
34%
30°C
$49 Vol.
6%
31°C or higher
$150 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from meteorological agencies supports a minimum near 27°C in Karachi on August 24, aligning with the market's leading 61% implied probability for that threshold. Karachi's coastal location and Arabian Sea influence typically limit overnight radiative cooling during the monsoon, while elevated humidity and light winds maintain lows around the 26–27°C climatological baseline for late August. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal mean temperatures but stable overnight conditions amid below-normal rainfall, reducing variability that could push minima lower. Updated model runs and any final pre-dawn observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Volume
$671End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from meteorological agencies supports a minimum near 27°C in Karachi on August 24, aligning with the market's leading 61% implied probability for that threshold. Karachi's coastal location and Arabian Sea influence typically limit overnight radiative cooling during the monsoon, while elevated humidity and light winds maintain lows around the 26–27°C climatological baseline for late August. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal mean temperatures but stable overnight conditions amid below-normal rainfall, reducing variability that could push minima lower. Updated model runs and any final pre-dawn observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$671End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from meteorological agencies supports a minimum near 27°C in Karachi on August 24, aligning with the market's leading 61% implied probability for that threshold. Karachi's coastal location and Arabian Sea influence typically limit overnight radiative cooling during the monsoon, while elevated humidity and light winds maintain lows around the 26–27°C climatological baseline for late August. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal mean temperatures but stable overnight conditions amid below-normal rainfall, reducing variability that could push minima lower. Updated model runs and any final pre-dawn observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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