Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in Karachi on August 24, driven by typical late-monsoon humidity, moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical August baselines of 26–27°C minimums, positioning 27°C as the market's leading outcome at 61% implied probability. Recent observations show stable temperatures with no major shifts from cloud cover or precipitation that would push readings notably lower or higher, though model updates on wind patterns or localized showers could still influence the final recorded low. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against the narrower spreads around 26°C and 28°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
27°C 61%
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
25°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
61%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
10%
27°C 61%
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
25°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$80 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$145 Vol.
3%
23°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$21 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$67 Vol.
61%
28°C
$19 Vol.
19%
29°C
$44 Vol.
34%
30°C
$49 Vol.
6%
31°C or higher
$150 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in Karachi on August 24, driven by typical late-monsoon humidity, moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical August baselines of 26–27°C minimums, positioning 27°C as the market's leading outcome at 61% implied probability. Recent observations show stable temperatures with no major shifts from cloud cover or precipitation that would push readings notably lower or higher, though model updates on wind patterns or localized showers could still influence the final recorded low. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against the narrower spreads around 26°C and 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Volume
$671End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in Karachi on August 24, driven by typical late-monsoon humidity, moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical August baselines of 26–27°C minimums, positioning 27°C as the market's leading outcome at 61% implied probability. Recent observations show stable temperatures with no major shifts from cloud cover or precipitation that would push readings notably lower or higher, though model updates on wind patterns or localized showers could still influence the final recorded low. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against the narrower spreads around 26°C and 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$671End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in Karachi on August 24, driven by typical late-monsoon humidity, moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical August baselines of 26–27°C minimums, positioning 27°C as the market's leading outcome at 61% implied probability. Recent observations show stable temperatures with no major shifts from cloud cover or precipitation that would push readings notably lower or higher, though model updates on wind patterns or localized showers could still influence the final recorded low. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against the narrower spreads around 26°C and 28°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions