Recent forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show mostly sunny skies over Busan with light southwesterly flow and surface highs near 33–34 °C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and modest warm advection. These conditions position the 35 °C outcome as the modal resolution, with the 36 °C bin reflecting slight upside risk from localized heating or model spread. Lower probabilities for 34 °C or below align with the absence of cloud cover or stronger onshore flow that would cap temperatures, while 37 °C or higher remains a low-likelihood tail given current thermodynamic profiles. Updated model runs and official KMA observations tomorrow will determine final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 55%
36°C 28%
34°C 17%
37°C 5%
$11,237 Vol.
$11,237 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
17%
35°C
55%
36°C
28%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 55%
36°C 28%
34°C 17%
37°C 5%
$11,237 Vol.
$11,237 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
17%
35°C
55%
36°C
28%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show mostly sunny skies over Busan with light southwesterly flow and surface highs near 33–34 °C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and modest warm advection. These conditions position the 35 °C outcome as the modal resolution, with the 36 °C bin reflecting slight upside risk from localized heating or model spread. Lower probabilities for 34 °C or below align with the absence of cloud cover or stronger onshore flow that would cap temperatures, while 37 °C or higher remains a low-likelihood tail given current thermodynamic profiles. Updated model runs and official KMA observations tomorrow will determine final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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