**Forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 18–19°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (19°C at 46.5%, 18°C at 36.5%).** Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies and a seasonal decline in solar insolation after mid-August, are limiting daytime warming. Historical averages place the typical high near 19.3°C on this date, providing climatological support for outcomes clustered around 18–20°C, while the current setup shows no signals of anomalous warmth or rapid intensification. Multiple ensemble runs remain consistent through the short forecast window, with minimal spread expected before resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the official guidance and recent model stability, resulting in very low probabilities assigned to extremes below 17°C or above 20°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
19°C 47%
18°C 37%
20°C 11%
17°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
37%
19°C
47%
20°C
11%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 47%
18°C 37%
20°C 11%
17°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
$76 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$255 Vol.
1%
16°C
$496 Vol.
1%
17°C
$809 Vol.
7%
18°C
$2,253 Vol.
37%
19°C
$2,435 Vol.
47%
20°C
$1,407 Vol.
11%
21°C
$438 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$373 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 18–19°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (19°C at 46.5%, 18°C at 36.5%).**
Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies and a seasonal decline in solar insolation after mid-August, are limiting daytime warming. Historical averages place the typical high near 19.3°C on this date, providing climatological support for outcomes clustered around 18–20°C, while the current setup shows no signals of anomalous warmth or rapid intensification.
Multiple ensemble runs remain consistent through the short forecast window, with minimal spread expected before resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the official guidance and recent model stability, resulting in very low probabilities assigned to extremes below 17°C or above 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,090End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 18–19°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (19°C at 46.5%, 18°C at 36.5%).**
Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies and a seasonal decline in solar insolation after mid-August, are limiting daytime warming. Historical averages place the typical high near 19.3°C on this date, providing climatological support for outcomes clustered around 18–20°C, while the current setup shows no signals of anomalous warmth or rapid intensification.
Multiple ensemble runs remain consistent through the short forecast window, with minimal spread expected before resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the official guidance and recent model stability, resulting in very low probabilities assigned to extremes below 17°C or above 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,090End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 18–19°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (19°C at 46.5%, 18°C at 36.5%).** Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partly cloudy skies and a seasonal decline in solar insolation after mid-August, are limiting daytime warming. Historical averages place the typical high near 19.3°C on this date, providing climatological support for outcomes clustered around 18–20°C, while the current setup shows no signals of anomalous warmth or rapid intensification. Multiple ensemble runs remain consistent through the short forecast window, with minimal spread expected before resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the official guidance and recent model stability, resulting in very low probabilities assigned to extremes below 17°C or above 20°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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