Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to sustain mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. South to southwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with high humidity of 75–95%, further moderate peaks, consistent with late-August climatological normals near 31°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because the exact high hinges on shower timing and intensity, variables that numerical models update frequently; traders weigh these near-term convective details against the risk of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes above the forecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
32°C 27%
29°C 6%
NEW
$24,006 Vol.
NEW
$24,006 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
30%
31°C
38%
32°C
27%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
32°C 27%
29°C 6%
NEW
$24,006 Vol.
NEW
$24,006 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$340 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,183 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,195 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,867 Vol.
6%
30°C
$4,310 Vol.
30%
31°C
$2,854 Vol.
38%
32°C
$2,047 Vol.
27%
33°C
$3,386 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to sustain mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. South to southwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with high humidity of 75–95%, further moderate peaks, consistent with late-August climatological normals near 31°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because the exact high hinges on shower timing and intensity, variables that numerical models update frequently; traders weigh these near-term convective details against the risk of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes above the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$24,006End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to sustain mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. South to southwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with high humidity of 75–95%, further moderate peaks, consistent with late-August climatological normals near 31°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because the exact high hinges on shower timing and intensity, variables that numerical models update frequently; traders weigh these near-term convective details against the risk of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes above the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,006End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to sustain mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. South to southwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with high humidity of 75–95%, further moderate peaks, consistent with late-August climatological normals near 31°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because the exact high hinges on shower timing and intensity, variables that numerical models update frequently; traders weigh these near-term convective details against the risk of brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes above the forecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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