Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional climatology place Jeddah's August 23 peak near 38–40 °C under sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and negligible rainfall, aligning with the Red Sea coast's typical summer maxima of 38–39 °C and recent above-normal temperature signals. This consensus, backed by real-time observations showing afternoon readings approaching or hitting 40 °C, drives the market's near-certain pricing of that outcome. Traders weigh historical August baselines against short-term model runs, recognizing that minor steering shifts or measurement revisions at official stations could still adjust the final recorded high within the day's resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 23?
40°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$24,843 Vol.
$24,843 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
100%
41°C or higher
<1%
40°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$24,843 Vol.
$24,843 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
100%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional climatology place Jeddah's August 23 peak near 38–40 °C under sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and negligible rainfall, aligning with the Red Sea coast's typical summer maxima of 38–39 °C and recent above-normal temperature signals. This consensus, backed by real-time observations showing afternoon readings approaching or hitting 40 °C, drives the market's near-certain pricing of that outcome. Traders weigh historical August baselines against short-term model runs, recognizing that minor steering shifts or measurement revisions at official stations could still adjust the final recorded high within the day's resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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