Forecast models and historical August climatology position 37–39°C as the most likely range for Jeddah’s peak temperature on August 24, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38°C and 37°C. Persistent northwesterly flow off the Red Sea maintains high humidity that moderates daytime maxima while the region’s subtropical high-pressure pattern and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating. Recent observations show the month running 2.3°C above the long-term normal, yet the latest runs indicate a modest cooling trend from early-August peaks above 42°C, aligning with typical late-August values near 36–38°C. Official agency guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor a maximum in the upper 30s Celsius, consistent with trader positioning ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
38°C 46%
37°C 31%
39°C 18%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
31%
38°C
46%
39°C
18%
40°C or higher
4%
38°C 46%
37°C 31%
39°C 18%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
30°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$102 Vol.
1%
35°C
$29 Vol.
3%
36°C
$154 Vol.
5%
37°C
$532 Vol.
31%
38°C
$1,725 Vol.
46%
39°C
$339 Vol.
18%
40°C or higher
$342 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and historical August climatology position 37–39°C as the most likely range for Jeddah’s peak temperature on August 24, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38°C and 37°C. Persistent northwesterly flow off the Red Sea maintains high humidity that moderates daytime maxima while the region’s subtropical high-pressure pattern and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating. Recent observations show the month running 2.3°C above the long-term normal, yet the latest runs indicate a modest cooling trend from early-August peaks above 42°C, aligning with typical late-August values near 36–38°C. Official agency guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor a maximum in the upper 30s Celsius, consistent with trader positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,438End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and historical August climatology position 37–39°C as the most likely range for Jeddah’s peak temperature on August 24, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38°C and 37°C. Persistent northwesterly flow off the Red Sea maintains high humidity that moderates daytime maxima while the region’s subtropical high-pressure pattern and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating. Recent observations show the month running 2.3°C above the long-term normal, yet the latest runs indicate a modest cooling trend from early-August peaks above 42°C, aligning with typical late-August values near 36–38°C. Official agency guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor a maximum in the upper 30s Celsius, consistent with trader positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,438End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and historical August climatology position 37–39°C as the most likely range for Jeddah’s peak temperature on August 24, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38°C and 37°C. Persistent northwesterly flow off the Red Sea maintains high humidity that moderates daytime maxima while the region’s subtropical high-pressure pattern and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating. Recent observations show the month running 2.3°C above the long-term normal, yet the latest runs indicate a modest cooling trend from early-August peaks above 42°C, aligning with typical late-August values near 36–38°C. Official agency guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor a maximum in the upper 30s Celsius, consistent with trader positioning ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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