Persistent monsoon cloud cover and a high likelihood of thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima in Lucknow, keeping the highest temperature on August 24 most likely between 32–34 °C according to aggregated trader views. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate generally cloudy skies with scattered rain or thunderstorms, typical of mid-monsoon conditions that historically suppress peaks by 2–4 °C relative to clear-sky norms of 35–36 °C. Recent observations show maxima near 32–33 °C amid similar moisture and weak steering flow, with limited model spread supporting only modest warming if breaks in cloud occur. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine whether any brief clearing allows a brief push toward 35 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
33°C 39%
32°C 23%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
39%
34°C
23%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 39%
32°C 23%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
26°C or below
$4 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$56 Vol.
1%
30°C
$29 Vol.
3%
31°C
$344 Vol.
8%
32°C
$663 Vol.
23%
33°C
$1,241 Vol.
39%
34°C
$326 Vol.
23%
35°C
$137 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$20 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon cloud cover and a high likelihood of thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima in Lucknow, keeping the highest temperature on August 24 most likely between 32–34 °C according to aggregated trader views. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate generally cloudy skies with scattered rain or thunderstorms, typical of mid-monsoon conditions that historically suppress peaks by 2–4 °C relative to clear-sky norms of 35–36 °C. Recent observations show maxima near 32–33 °C amid similar moisture and weak steering flow, with limited model spread supporting only modest warming if breaks in cloud occur. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine whether any brief clearing allows a brief push toward 35 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,957End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon cloud cover and a high likelihood of thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima in Lucknow, keeping the highest temperature on August 24 most likely between 32–34 °C according to aggregated trader views. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate generally cloudy skies with scattered rain or thunderstorms, typical of mid-monsoon conditions that historically suppress peaks by 2–4 °C relative to clear-sky norms of 35–36 °C. Recent observations show maxima near 32–33 °C amid similar moisture and weak steering flow, with limited model spread supporting only modest warming if breaks in cloud occur. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine whether any brief clearing allows a brief push toward 35 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,957End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon cloud cover and a high likelihood of thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima in Lucknow, keeping the highest temperature on August 24 most likely between 32–34 °C according to aggregated trader views. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate generally cloudy skies with scattered rain or thunderstorms, typical of mid-monsoon conditions that historically suppress peaks by 2–4 °C relative to clear-sky norms of 35–36 °C. Recent observations show maxima near 32–33 °C amid similar moisture and weak steering flow, with limited model spread supporting only modest warming if breaks in cloud occur. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine whether any brief clearing allows a brief push toward 35 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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