**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Manila on August 23, 2026, reflecting PAGASA's official forecast of 26–33°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with 40% rain chance and scattered thunderstorms.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Metro Manila, where daytime maxima commonly reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits further warming. Real-time observations and model consensus from authoritative sources indicate peak temperatures stabilizing at 32°C rather than pushing toward the upper forecast bound or dropping below seasonal norms. Realistic challenges include late-day intensification of convection or measurement revisions by PAGASA if localized heating occurs, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 23?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,780 Vol.
$25,780 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,780 Vol.
$25,780 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Vol.
No
26°C
$233 Vol.
No
27°C
$335 Vol.
No
28°C
$947 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,816 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,699 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,435 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,379 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$3,596 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,801 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$2,253 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Manila on August 23, 2026, reflecting PAGASA's official forecast of 26–33°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with 40% rain chance and scattered thunderstorms.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Metro Manila, where daytime maxima commonly reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits further warming. Real-time observations and model consensus from authoritative sources indicate peak temperatures stabilizing at 32°C rather than pushing toward the upper forecast bound or dropping below seasonal norms. Realistic challenges include late-day intensification of convection or measurement revisions by PAGASA if localized heating occurs, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$25,780End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Manila on August 23, 2026, reflecting PAGASA's official forecast of 26–33°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with 40% rain chance and scattered thunderstorms.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Metro Manila, where daytime maxima commonly reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits further warming. Real-time observations and model consensus from authoritative sources indicate peak temperatures stabilizing at 32°C rather than pushing toward the upper forecast bound or dropping below seasonal norms. Realistic challenges include late-day intensification of convection or measurement revisions by PAGASA if localized heating occurs, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,780End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Manila on August 23, 2026, reflecting PAGASA's official forecast of 26–33°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with 40% rain chance and scattered thunderstorms.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Metro Manila, where daytime maxima commonly reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits further warming. Real-time observations and model consensus from authoritative sources indicate peak temperatures stabilizing at 32°C rather than pushing toward the upper forecast bound or dropping below seasonal norms. Realistic challenges include late-day intensification of convection or measurement revisions by PAGASA if localized heating occurs, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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