Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, under easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions featuring moderate humidity, light to moderate winds, and no strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 24.6°C, so the implied probabilities favor modestly elevated readings without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated guidance over the next 12–24 hours, particularly afternoon observations and any adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C 45%
28°C 28%
26°C 14%
29°C 11%
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
45%
28°C
28%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 28%
26°C 14%
29°C 11%
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,079 Vol.
4%
25°C
$3,198 Vol.
4%
26°C
$3,819 Vol.
14%
27°C
$4,738 Vol.
45%
28°C
$4,187 Vol.
28%
29°C
$3,045 Vol.
11%
30°C
$2,819 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,476 Vol.
1%
32°C
$948 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, under easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions featuring moderate humidity, light to moderate winds, and no strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 24.6°C, so the implied probabilities favor modestly elevated readings without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated guidance over the next 12–24 hours, particularly afternoon observations and any adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$27,716End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, under easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions featuring moderate humidity, light to moderate winds, and no strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 24.6°C, so the implied probabilities favor modestly elevated readings without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated guidance over the next 12–24 hours, particularly afternoon observations and any adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,716End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, under easterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, with current conditions featuring moderate humidity, light to moderate winds, and no strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 24.6°C, so the implied probabilities favor modestly elevated readings without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated guidance over the next 12–24 hours, particularly afternoon observations and any adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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