Recent short-range model consensus from multiple forecasting systems points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable late-summer high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes that cap afternoon heating near the long-term August average. These conditions align with the market-implied emphasis on the 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as historical variability around the 30–32°C baseline leaves modest room for a peak near or slightly above 33°C but limits upside beyond 34°C or downside below 31°C. No significant synoptic shifts or heatwave signals appear in current guidance, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the leading bins ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
33°C 63%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
33%
33°C
63%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 63%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
$310 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$484 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,495 Vol.
33%
33°C
$1,500 Vol.
63%
34°C
$823 Vol.
7%
35°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$553 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from multiple forecasting systems points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable late-summer high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes that cap afternoon heating near the long-term August average. These conditions align with the market-implied emphasis on the 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as historical variability around the 30–32°C baseline leaves modest room for a peak near or slightly above 33°C but limits upside beyond 34°C or downside below 31°C. No significant synoptic shifts or heatwave signals appear in current guidance, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the leading bins ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,827End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from multiple forecasting systems points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable late-summer high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes that cap afternoon heating near the long-term August average. These conditions align with the market-implied emphasis on the 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as historical variability around the 30–32°C baseline leaves modest room for a peak near or slightly above 33°C but limits upside beyond 34°C or downside below 31°C. No significant synoptic shifts or heatwave signals appear in current guidance, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the leading bins ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,827End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from multiple forecasting systems points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 24 under stable late-summer high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes that cap afternoon heating near the long-term August average. These conditions align with the market-implied emphasis on the 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as historical variability around the 30–32°C baseline leaves modest room for a peak near or slightly above 33°C but limits upside beyond 34°C or downside below 31°C. No significant synoptic shifts or heatwave signals appear in current guidance, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the leading bins ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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