Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 23, 2026, will settle near 24–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Official model consensus, including elevated dew points around 24–26°C, supports this range as the most probable minimum, consistent with observed conditions through the day and historical analogs for late-summer patterns under similar moisture. Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C given the narrow uncertainty window late in the period. A rapid clearing of skies or localized measurement at the official station dipping below expectations due to microclimate effects could still shift the recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
25°C 99.5%
$3,522 Vol.
$3,522 Vol.
25°C
100%
25°C 99.5%
$3,522 Vol.
$3,522 Vol.
25°C
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 23, 2026, will settle near 24–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Official model consensus, including elevated dew points around 24–26°C, supports this range as the most probable minimum, consistent with observed conditions through the day and historical analogs for late-summer patterns under similar moisture. Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C given the narrow uncertainty window late in the period. A rapid clearing of skies or localized measurement at the official station dipping below expectations due to microclimate effects could still shift the recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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