Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on August 24, driven by clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure suppressing frontal activity under developing El Niño conditions that have favored unseasonably mild winter weather. Overnight radiative cooling will set the low after daytime highs reach 17–18°C, with historical August averages around 10°C providing context for the current warmer baseline. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 11°C reflects model spread in minimum readings and the potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds slacken further, while the tight clustering around 11–12°C underscores uncertainty in precise nocturnal temperatures ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
11°C 37%
7°C or below 31%
12°C 23%
9°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
31%
8°C
9%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
29%
12°C
23%
13°C
19%
14°C
10%
15°C
14%
16°C
12%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 37%
7°C or below 31%
12°C 23%
9°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$45 Vol.
31%
8°C
$49 Vol.
9%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$5 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$5 Vol.
10%
15°C
$145 Vol.
14%
16°C
$35 Vol.
12%
17°C or higher
$159 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on August 24, driven by clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure suppressing frontal activity under developing El Niño conditions that have favored unseasonably mild winter weather. Overnight radiative cooling will set the low after daytime highs reach 17–18°C, with historical August averages around 10°C providing context for the current warmer baseline. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 11°C reflects model spread in minimum readings and the potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds slacken further, while the tight clustering around 11–12°C underscores uncertainty in precise nocturnal temperatures ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Volume
$444End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on August 24, driven by clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure suppressing frontal activity under developing El Niño conditions that have favored unseasonably mild winter weather. Overnight radiative cooling will set the low after daytime highs reach 17–18°C, with historical August averages around 10°C providing context for the current warmer baseline. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 11°C reflects model spread in minimum readings and the potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds slacken further, while the tight clustering around 11–12°C underscores uncertainty in precise nocturnal temperatures ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$444End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on August 24, driven by clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure suppressing frontal activity under developing El Niño conditions that have favored unseasonably mild winter weather. Overnight radiative cooling will set the low after daytime highs reach 17–18°C, with historical August averages around 10°C providing context for the current warmer baseline. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 11°C reflects model spread in minimum readings and the potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds slacken further, while the tight clustering around 11–12°C underscores uncertainty in precise nocturnal temperatures ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions