**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on August 24, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C.** Typical August overnight lows in the region range from 22–26°C amid persistent high humidity and weak radiative cooling under subtropical conditions, with current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on precise overnight cloud cover, local urban heat-island effects, and subtle steering of warm, moist air masses from the south, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations released on August 23–24 will likely resolve the narrow spread among these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
20°C or below 47%
26°C 35%
23°C 27%
24°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
47%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
38%
26°C
35%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 47%
26°C 35%
23°C 27%
24°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$39 Vol.
47%
21°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$88 Vol.
1%
23°C
$6 Vol.
27%
24°C
$6 Vol.
21%
25°C
$943 Vol.
38%
26°C
$6 Vol.
35%
27°C
$103 Vol.
1%
28°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on August 24, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C.** Typical August overnight lows in the region range from 22–26°C amid persistent high humidity and weak radiative cooling under subtropical conditions, with current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on precise overnight cloud cover, local urban heat-island effects, and subtle steering of warm, moist air masses from the south, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations released on August 23–24 will likely resolve the narrow spread among these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,710End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on August 24, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C.** Typical August overnight lows in the region range from 22–26°C amid persistent high humidity and weak radiative cooling under subtropical conditions, with current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on precise overnight cloud cover, local urban heat-island effects, and subtle steering of warm, moist air masses from the south, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations released on August 23–24 will likely resolve the narrow spread among these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,710End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on August 24, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C.** Typical August overnight lows in the region range from 22–26°C amid persistent high humidity and weak radiative cooling under subtropical conditions, with current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on precise overnight cloud cover, local urban heat-island effects, and subtle steering of warm, moist air masses from the south, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations released on August 23–24 will likely resolve the narrow spread among these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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