Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Chengdu minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C on August 24, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity (70-80%) and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture transport reduces the temperature drop overnight, favoring outcomes near 25°C while keeping 23°C and 27°C competitive depending on exact precipitation timing and model consensus. Historical August lows average 22-26°C, with urban effects and weak steering patterns adding minor variability; traders weigh ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
20°C or below 47%
27°C 34%
23°C 27%
26°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
47%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
38%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 47%
27°C 34%
23°C 27%
26°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$21 Vol.
47%
21°C
$80 Vol.
1%
22°C
$68 Vol.
2%
23°C
$6 Vol.
27%
24°C
$6 Vol.
21%
25°C
$943 Vol.
38%
26°C
$6 Vol.
23%
27°C
$6 Vol.
34%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Chengdu minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C on August 24, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity (70-80%) and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture transport reduces the temperature drop overnight, favoring outcomes near 25°C while keeping 23°C and 27°C competitive depending on exact precipitation timing and model consensus. Historical August lows average 22-26°C, with urban effects and weak steering patterns adding minor variability; traders weigh ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,436End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Chengdu minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C on August 24, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity (70-80%) and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture transport reduces the temperature drop overnight, favoring outcomes near 25°C while keeping 23°C and 27°C competitive depending on exact precipitation timing and model consensus. Historical August lows average 22-26°C, with urban effects and weak steering patterns adding minor variability; traders weigh ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,436End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Chengdu minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C on August 24, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity (70-80%) and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture transport reduces the temperature drop overnight, favoring outcomes near 25°C while keeping 23°C and 27°C competitive depending on exact precipitation timing and model consensus. Historical August lows average 22-26°C, with urban effects and weak steering patterns adding minor variability; traders weigh ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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