Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, showers, and moderate northerly winds across Helsinki on August 23, suppressing daytime highs to around 16–17°C while holding overnight minimums near 12–14°C. This setup aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 9–13°C but often moderate under persistent cloud cover and precipitation rather than clear radiative cooling. Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C and 13°C outcomes because updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before midnight, with only minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing or localized variations. Upcoming FMI hourly updates and any revised guidance on wind strength or rainfall totals could shift probabilities if clearing allows temperatures to dip toward 12°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 23?
12°C 19%
11°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,793 Vol.
$13,793 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
19%
13°C
31%
14°C
55%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 19%
11°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,793 Vol.
$13,793 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$269 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$12 Vol.
31%
14°C
$196 Vol.
55%
15°C
$3,408 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,187 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,011 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,988 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, showers, and moderate northerly winds across Helsinki on August 23, suppressing daytime highs to around 16–17°C while holding overnight minimums near 12–14°C. This setup aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 9–13°C but often moderate under persistent cloud cover and precipitation rather than clear radiative cooling. Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C and 13°C outcomes because updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before midnight, with only minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing or localized variations. Upcoming FMI hourly updates and any revised guidance on wind strength or rainfall totals could shift probabilities if clearing allows temperatures to dip toward 12°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$13,793End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, showers, and moderate northerly winds across Helsinki on August 23, suppressing daytime highs to around 16–17°C while holding overnight minimums near 12–14°C. This setup aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 9–13°C but often moderate under persistent cloud cover and precipitation rather than clear radiative cooling. Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C and 13°C outcomes because updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before midnight, with only minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing or localized variations. Upcoming FMI hourly updates and any revised guidance on wind strength or rainfall totals could shift probabilities if clearing allows temperatures to dip toward 12°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,793End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, showers, and moderate northerly winds across Helsinki on August 23, suppressing daytime highs to around 16–17°C while holding overnight minimums near 12–14°C. This setup aligns with historical August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 9–13°C but often moderate under persistent cloud cover and precipitation rather than clear radiative cooling. Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C and 13°C outcomes because updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before midnight, with only minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing or localized variations. Upcoming FMI hourly updates and any revised guidance on wind strength or rainfall totals could shift probabilities if clearing allows temperatures to dip toward 12°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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