Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28 °C for August 24, consistent with the close market-implied odds of 43.5 % for 28 °C and 35.5 % for 27 °C. In Hong Kong’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, urban heat retention, and typical light winds, keeping lows rarely below 26 °C this late in the season. Cloud cover and scattered showers—common under near-normal to above-normal August temperatures—can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree, creating the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours and official minimum readings at the Observatory will determine the exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 45%
27°C 36%
29°C 14%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
36%
28°C
45%
29°C
14%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
27°C 36%
29°C 14%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$739 Vol.
1%
25°C
$289 Vol.
3%
26°C
$747 Vol.
8%
27°C
$1,833 Vol.
36%
28°C
$1,423 Vol.
45%
29°C
$3,014 Vol.
14%
30°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28 °C for August 24, consistent with the close market-implied odds of 43.5 % for 28 °C and 35.5 % for 27 °C. In Hong Kong’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, urban heat retention, and typical light winds, keeping lows rarely below 26 °C this late in the season. Cloud cover and scattered showers—common under near-normal to above-normal August temperatures—can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree, creating the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours and official minimum readings at the Observatory will determine the exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,708End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28 °C for August 24, consistent with the close market-implied odds of 43.5 % for 28 °C and 35.5 % for 27 °C. In Hong Kong’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, urban heat retention, and typical light winds, keeping lows rarely below 26 °C this late in the season. Cloud cover and scattered showers—common under near-normal to above-normal August temperatures—can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree, creating the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours and official minimum readings at the Observatory will determine the exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,708End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28 °C for August 24, consistent with the close market-implied odds of 43.5 % for 28 °C and 35.5 % for 27 °C. In Hong Kong’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, urban heat retention, and typical light winds, keeping lows rarely below 26 °C this late in the season. Cloud cover and scattered showers—common under near-normal to above-normal August temperatures—can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree, creating the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours and official minimum readings at the Observatory will determine the exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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