**Persistent high humidity, Red Sea moisture, and moderate northwest winds are keeping overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driving the strong market consensus around 32°C (89% implied probability).** Jeddah’s coastal desert location experiences limited nighttime radiational cooling because dew points often stay above 20°C and sea-breeze effects maintain warmth through the early morning hours. Official forecasts from multiple models and stations, including King Abdulaziz International Airport, show tonight’s low stabilizing around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 3–8 mph. Recent August 2026 observations confirm minima clustering between 28.6°C and 31.5°C, with no unusual cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that would allow deeper cooling. Historical August averages place typical lows near 27–30°C, but current conditions—elevated atmospheric moisture and consistent moderate winds—support the higher end of that range. Traders appear to be pricing in these stable factors and the narrow historical variability, resulting in sharply lower probabilities for outcomes below 30°C or at 33°C+. The market will resolve to the official NOAA minimum at the airport station once the full 24-hour period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 23?
32°C 89%
30°C 37%
31°C 37%
29°C 29%
$3,865 Vol.
$3,865 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
29%
30°C
24%
31°C
24%
32°C
89%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 89%
30°C 37%
31°C 37%
29°C 29%
$3,865 Vol.
$3,865 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
$190 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$142 Vol.
1%
26°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,368 Vol.
1%
28°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$58 Vol.
29%
30°C
$19 Vol.
24%
31°C
$15 Vol.
24%
32°C
$103 Vol.
89%
33°C
$398 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, Red Sea moisture, and moderate northwest winds are keeping overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driving the strong market consensus around 32°C (89% implied probability).**
Jeddah’s coastal desert location experiences limited nighttime radiational cooling because dew points often stay above 20°C and sea-breeze effects maintain warmth through the early morning hours. Official forecasts from multiple models and stations, including King Abdulaziz International Airport, show tonight’s low stabilizing around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 3–8 mph. Recent August 2026 observations confirm minima clustering between 28.6°C and 31.5°C, with no unusual cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that would allow deeper cooling.
Historical August averages place typical lows near 27–30°C, but current conditions—elevated atmospheric moisture and consistent moderate winds—support the higher end of that range. Traders appear to be pricing in these stable factors and the narrow historical variability, resulting in sharply lower probabilities for outcomes below 30°C or at 33°C+. The market will resolve to the official NOAA minimum at the airport station once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,865End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, Red Sea moisture, and moderate northwest winds are keeping overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driving the strong market consensus around 32°C (89% implied probability).**
Jeddah’s coastal desert location experiences limited nighttime radiational cooling because dew points often stay above 20°C and sea-breeze effects maintain warmth through the early morning hours. Official forecasts from multiple models and stations, including King Abdulaziz International Airport, show tonight’s low stabilizing around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 3–8 mph. Recent August 2026 observations confirm minima clustering between 28.6°C and 31.5°C, with no unusual cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that would allow deeper cooling.
Historical August averages place typical lows near 27–30°C, but current conditions—elevated atmospheric moisture and consistent moderate winds—support the higher end of that range. Traders appear to be pricing in these stable factors and the narrow historical variability, resulting in sharply lower probabilities for outcomes below 30°C or at 33°C+. The market will resolve to the official NOAA minimum at the airport station once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,865End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high humidity, Red Sea moisture, and moderate northwest winds are keeping overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driving the strong market consensus around 32°C (89% implied probability).** Jeddah’s coastal desert location experiences limited nighttime radiational cooling because dew points often stay above 20°C and sea-breeze effects maintain warmth through the early morning hours. Official forecasts from multiple models and stations, including King Abdulaziz International Airport, show tonight’s low stabilizing around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 3–8 mph. Recent August 2026 observations confirm minima clustering between 28.6°C and 31.5°C, with no unusual cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that would allow deeper cooling. Historical August averages place typical lows near 27–30°C, but current conditions—elevated atmospheric moisture and consistent moderate winds—support the higher end of that range. Traders appear to be pricing in these stable factors and the narrow historical variability, resulting in sharply lower probabilities for outcomes below 30°C or at 33°C+. The market will resolve to the official NOAA minimum at the airport station once the full 24-hour period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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