Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models project a minimum temperature of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the rainy season. High-altitude radiative cooling overnight is moderated by humid air masses and low-level moisture, limiting how far temperatures drop below recent August baselines near 13 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–14 °C because these conditions favor modest nocturnal cooling without strong clear-sky radiational losses, while the notable share assigned to 9 °C or below reflects uncertainty in model runs that could produce heavier rain or localized fog enhancing surface cooling. Upcoming updated model guidance and official minimum observations will clarify whether the low settles at the warmer or cooler edge of the expected range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 63%
14°C 29%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
63%
10°C
6%
11°C
16%
12°C
13%
13°C
20%
14°C
29%
15°C
20%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 63%
14°C 29%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$62 Vol.
63%
10°C
$55 Vol.
6%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C
$0 Vol.
13%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$70 Vol.
1%
18°C
$135 Vol.
5%
19°C or higher
$135 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models project a minimum temperature of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the rainy season. High-altitude radiative cooling overnight is moderated by humid air masses and low-level moisture, limiting how far temperatures drop below recent August baselines near 13 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–14 °C because these conditions favor modest nocturnal cooling without strong clear-sky radiational losses, while the notable share assigned to 9 °C or below reflects uncertainty in model runs that could produce heavier rain or localized fog enhancing surface cooling. Upcoming updated model guidance and official minimum observations will clarify whether the low settles at the warmer or cooler edge of the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$457End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models project a minimum temperature of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the rainy season. High-altitude radiative cooling overnight is moderated by humid air masses and low-level moisture, limiting how far temperatures drop below recent August baselines near 13 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–14 °C because these conditions favor modest nocturnal cooling without strong clear-sky radiational losses, while the notable share assigned to 9 °C or below reflects uncertainty in model runs that could produce heavier rain or localized fog enhancing surface cooling. Upcoming updated model guidance and official minimum observations will clarify whether the low settles at the warmer or cooler edge of the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$457End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models project a minimum temperature of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the rainy season. High-altitude radiative cooling overnight is moderated by humid air masses and low-level moisture, limiting how far temperatures drop below recent August baselines near 13 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–14 °C because these conditions favor modest nocturnal cooling without strong clear-sky radiational losses, while the notable share assigned to 9 °C or below reflects uncertainty in model runs that could produce heavier rain or localized fog enhancing surface cooling. Upcoming updated model guidance and official minimum observations will clarify whether the low settles at the warmer or cooler edge of the expected range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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