Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and frequent thunderstorms on August 24 have limited overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, keeping temperatures from dropping below the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C amid ongoing rain and light variable winds, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 28 °C and 27 °C. Recent tropical low-pressure influences and monsoon activity have sustained these warm, moist conditions, reducing the likelihood of cooler readings near 25 °C or below. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will determine whether the final low settles at 28 °C or edges slightly higher or lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
29°C 34.1%
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
59%
29°C
34%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34.1%
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$808 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$123 Vol.
1%
25°C
$68 Vol.
3%
26°C
$12 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$46 Vol.
59%
29°C
$2,533 Vol.
34%
30°C
$135 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and frequent thunderstorms on August 24 have limited overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, keeping temperatures from dropping below the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C amid ongoing rain and light variable winds, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 28 °C and 27 °C. Recent tropical low-pressure influences and monsoon activity have sustained these warm, moist conditions, reducing the likelihood of cooler readings near 25 °C or below. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will determine whether the final low settles at 28 °C or edges slightly higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$4,190End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and frequent thunderstorms on August 24 have limited overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, keeping temperatures from dropping below the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C amid ongoing rain and light variable winds, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 28 °C and 27 °C. Recent tropical low-pressure influences and monsoon activity have sustained these warm, moist conditions, reducing the likelihood of cooler readings near 25 °C or below. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will determine whether the final low settles at 28 °C or edges slightly higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,190End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and frequent thunderstorms on August 24 have limited overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, keeping temperatures from dropping below the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a daily minimum of 27–28 °C amid ongoing rain and light variable winds, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 28 °C and 27 °C. Recent tropical low-pressure influences and monsoon activity have sustained these warm, moist conditions, reducing the likelihood of cooler readings near 25 °C or below. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will determine whether the final low settles at 28 °C or edges slightly higher or lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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