National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 99°F and heat indices reaching 104, driven by persistent southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances under 20%. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F, as recent model runs show little deviation from upper-90s peaks amid the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where daily maxima have recently touched 101°F. Subtle uncertainties remain in exact afternoon readings from local stations, with potential for minor upward revisions if winds weaken or if convective activity develops later than projected; traders will monitor the next NWS update and evening observations for any shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
$444 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$221 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$570 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$492 Vol.
11%
98-99°F
$425 Vol.
57%
100-101°F
$376 Vol.
29%
102-103°F
$256 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$183 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$99 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$21 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 99°F and heat indices reaching 104, driven by persistent southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances under 20%. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F, as recent model runs show little deviation from upper-90s peaks amid the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where daily maxima have recently touched 101°F. Subtle uncertainties remain in exact afternoon readings from local stations, with potential for minor upward revisions if winds weaken or if convective activity develops later than projected; traders will monitor the next NWS update and evening observations for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,107End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 99°F and heat indices reaching 104, driven by persistent southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances under 20%. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F, as recent model runs show little deviation from upper-90s peaks amid the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where daily maxima have recently touched 101°F. Subtle uncertainties remain in exact afternoon readings from local stations, with potential for minor upward revisions if winds weaken or if convective activity develops later than projected; traders will monitor the next NWS update and evening observations for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,107End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 99°F and heat indices reaching 104, driven by persistent southwest flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances under 20%. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F, as recent model runs show little deviation from upper-90s peaks amid the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where daily maxima have recently touched 101°F. Subtle uncertainties remain in exact afternoon readings from local stations, with potential for minor upward revisions if winds weaken or if convective activity develops later than projected; traders will monitor the next NWS update and evening observations for any shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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