Forecasts from multiple models place Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum near the 31–32 °C threshold amid late-summer humid subtropical conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as heavier or earlier precipitation can limit surface heating and cap the peak at 31 °C, while breaks allowing stronger insolation support a reading of 32 °C or higher. Current observations on the 23rd show temperatures already climbing through the upper 20s °C with only modest rain, keeping both outcomes plausible. Traders weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the timing of any convective activity relative to peak afternoon temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
31°C 30%
30°C 14%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
14%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
52%
31°C 30%
30°C 14%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$729 Vol.
1%
30°C
$16 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C or higher
$8 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models place Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum near the 31–32 °C threshold amid late-summer humid subtropical conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as heavier or earlier precipitation can limit surface heating and cap the peak at 31 °C, while breaks allowing stronger insolation support a reading of 32 °C or higher. Current observations on the 23rd show temperatures already climbing through the upper 20s °C with only modest rain, keeping both outcomes plausible. Traders weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the timing of any convective activity relative to peak afternoon temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,018End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models place Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum near the 31–32 °C threshold amid late-summer humid subtropical conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as heavier or earlier precipitation can limit surface heating and cap the peak at 31 °C, while breaks allowing stronger insolation support a reading of 32 °C or higher. Current observations on the 23rd show temperatures already climbing through the upper 20s °C with only modest rain, keeping both outcomes plausible. Traders weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the timing of any convective activity relative to peak afternoon temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,018End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models place Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum near the 31–32 °C threshold amid late-summer humid subtropical conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as heavier or earlier precipitation can limit surface heating and cap the peak at 31 °C, while breaks allowing stronger insolation support a reading of 32 °C or higher. Current observations on the 23rd show temperatures already climbing through the upper 20s °C with only modest rain, keeping both outcomes plausible. Traders weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the timing of any convective activity relative to peak afternoon temperatures, producing closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions