Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project Beijing's overnight low on August 24 near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and possible scattered showers, following a daytime high near 33°C amid above-average late-summer warmth. Trader consensus clusters on 22–24°C because these values align with ensemble guidance showing limited radiative cooling from elevated humidity and residual cloud cover, while 21°C or lower would require clearer, drier conditions not currently favored. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, yet persistent warmth this season keeps probabilities elevated for the mid-20s range. New model runs and updated CMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the next key data points that could shift implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
21°C 52%
27°C 52%
23°C 34%
22°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
52%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
27%
25°C
12%
26°C
28%
27°C
52%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 52%
27°C 52%
23°C 34%
22°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$515 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$80 Vol.
4%
21°C
$150 Vol.
52%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$310 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$2 Vol.
12%
26°C
$2 Vol.
28%
27°C
$311 Vol.
52%
28°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project Beijing's overnight low on August 24 near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and possible scattered showers, following a daytime high near 33°C amid above-average late-summer warmth. Trader consensus clusters on 22–24°C because these values align with ensemble guidance showing limited radiative cooling from elevated humidity and residual cloud cover, while 21°C or lower would require clearer, drier conditions not currently favored. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, yet persistent warmth this season keeps probabilities elevated for the mid-20s range. New model runs and updated CMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the next key data points that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,520End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project Beijing's overnight low on August 24 near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and possible scattered showers, following a daytime high near 33°C amid above-average late-summer warmth. Trader consensus clusters on 22–24°C because these values align with ensemble guidance showing limited radiative cooling from elevated humidity and residual cloud cover, while 21°C or lower would require clearer, drier conditions not currently favored. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, yet persistent warmth this season keeps probabilities elevated for the mid-20s range. New model runs and updated CMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the next key data points that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,520End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project Beijing's overnight low on August 24 near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and possible scattered showers, following a daytime high near 33°C amid above-average late-summer warmth. Trader consensus clusters on 22–24°C because these values align with ensemble guidance showing limited radiative cooling from elevated humidity and residual cloud cover, while 21°C or lower would require clearer, drier conditions not currently favored. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, yet persistent warmth this season keeps probabilities elevated for the mid-20s range. New model runs and updated CMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the next key data points that could shift implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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