Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other sources project a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Lucknow on August 24, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These factors keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, with model consensus centering on 26–27°C amid ongoing southwest monsoon influence. Trader sentiment reflects this clustering around 24–29°C, where the 27°C outcome leads at 36% implied probability due to alignment with official guidance and historical baselines near 25.8–27°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on precise timing of any rain or cloud breaks, which could nudge the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on measurement at the official station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
27°C 37%
25°C 28%
28°C 28%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
37%
28°C
28%
29°C
27%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
5%
27°C 37%
25°C 28%
28°C 28%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C
$105 Vol.
1%
23°C
$151 Vol.
6%
24°C
$6 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$55 Vol.
27%
30°C
$5 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$145 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other sources project a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Lucknow on August 24, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These factors keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, with model consensus centering on 26–27°C amid ongoing southwest monsoon influence. Trader sentiment reflects this clustering around 24–29°C, where the 27°C outcome leads at 36% implied probability due to alignment with official guidance and historical baselines near 25.8–27°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on precise timing of any rain or cloud breaks, which could nudge the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on measurement at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$487End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other sources project a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Lucknow on August 24, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These factors keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, with model consensus centering on 26–27°C amid ongoing southwest monsoon influence. Trader sentiment reflects this clustering around 24–29°C, where the 27°C outcome leads at 36% implied probability due to alignment with official guidance and historical baselines near 25.8–27°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on precise timing of any rain or cloud breaks, which could nudge the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on measurement at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$487End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other sources project a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Lucknow on August 24, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These factors keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, with model consensus centering on 26–27°C amid ongoing southwest monsoon influence. Trader sentiment reflects this clustering around 24–29°C, where the 27°C outcome leads at 36% implied probability due to alignment with official guidance and historical baselines near 25.8–27°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on precise timing of any rain or cloud breaks, which could nudge the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on measurement at the official station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions