In Panama City's tropical wet season, the closely matched market odds around 26°C versus 30°C or higher for the August 24 minimum reflect uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid persistent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and scattered thunderstorms. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate typical lows near 24–26°C, driven by seasonal averages of 23–26°C and limited diurnal temperature swings under high moisture. A warmer minimum could occur if dense cloud decks and convective activity suppress heat loss, while clearer intervals or stronger winds might allow cooling toward 24–25°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from regional monitoring will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
30°C or higher 48%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
18%
25°C
17%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
48%
30°C or higher 48%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$55 Vol.
1%
21°C
$87 Vol.
2%
22°C
$145 Vol.
2%
23°C
$12 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$70 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$270 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet season, the closely matched market odds around 26°C versus 30°C or higher for the August 24 minimum reflect uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid persistent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and scattered thunderstorms. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate typical lows near 24–26°C, driven by seasonal averages of 23–26°C and limited diurnal temperature swings under high moisture. A warmer minimum could occur if dense cloud decks and convective activity suppress heat loss, while clearer intervals or stronger winds might allow cooling toward 24–25°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from regional monitoring will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$639End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet season, the closely matched market odds around 26°C versus 30°C or higher for the August 24 minimum reflect uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid persistent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and scattered thunderstorms. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate typical lows near 24–26°C, driven by seasonal averages of 23–26°C and limited diurnal temperature swings under high moisture. A warmer minimum could occur if dense cloud decks and convective activity suppress heat loss, while clearer intervals or stronger winds might allow cooling toward 24–25°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from regional monitoring will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$639End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Panama City's tropical wet season, the closely matched market odds around 26°C versus 30°C or higher for the August 24 minimum reflect uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid persistent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and scattered thunderstorms. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate typical lows near 24–26°C, driven by seasonal averages of 23–26°C and limited diurnal temperature swings under high moisture. A warmer minimum could occur if dense cloud decks and convective activity suppress heat loss, while clearer intervals or stronger winds might allow cooling toward 24–25°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from regional monitoring will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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